We are currently selecting our 10 co-development partners

For the Risk Manager

Moving from risk management to organic anticipation of perils.

The Challenge You Are Facing

You probably dedicate a lot of time and energy to documenting known risks, complying with standards, and preparing crisis management plans. Yet, the real surprises, those unpredictable events that have the greatest impact, always seem to arrive without warning.

Your current tools are effective at managing foreseeable risks, but they struggle to detect weak signals and emerging threats that don't fit any pre-established scenario. You know that real dangers often come from unexpected places, but your indicators primarily focus on where problems have already occurred.

Our Response

We're not offering you just another miracle solution. We're helping you develop a fundamental skill :

The ability to detect early warning signs and adapt your organization before risks become critical.

Our approach is based on biological mechanisms validated by scientific research. For example, the peripheral vision of vertebrates allows them to detect lateral movements; we transpose this principle to help you monitor signals at the edge of your usual field of vision. The coordination of social insects shows how to act without centralization; we adapt this to create more agile response protocols.

What we propose

Our support focuses on three concrete areas :

The installation of a system for detecting weak signals, based on the principles of peripheral biological vigilance. We help you identify relevant sources of information outside of your usual monitoring.
The implementation of coordination protocols inspired by natural coordination mechanisms observed in social animals. These protocols allow for a faster and more appropriate response to emerging threats.
The development of an active organizational memory, which transforms each incident into concrete learning, without guilt.

We offer an initial diagnosis of your current forecasting capabilities, followed by progressive support over 3 to 6 months to install these mechanisms in your organization.

The Program

Our intervention follows a logical and measurable progression:

First month : Evaluation of your current system and identification of blind spots. Training of your teams on the principles of detecting weak signals.
Second month : Co-creation of vigilance protocols adapted to your context. Implementation of the first tools for extended monitoring.
Third month : Testing and adjusting protocols. Training teams in decentralized coordination.
From the fourth month : Monitoring of performance indicators, fine adjustments and gradual transfer of skills to ensure your autonomy.

Each step is concrete, measurable, and directly applicable. Together, we document progress and learning.

We don't guarantee the elimination of all risks, that would be unrealistic. We help you develop a proactive approach that complements your existing risk management tools.

The Challenge You Are Facing

The challenge today is no longer just about managing known risks.

As a Risk Manager, you have a thorough understanding of risk management processes :

Identifying known risks, assessing them, implementing controls, and planning responses. These methods are proven and necessary.

However, you see their limitations daily when faced with emerging risks. Traditional tools excel at documenting what has already happened, but struggle to detect what might happen.

Your reality includes several concrete challenges :

Your dashboards primarily measure past risks. Quantitative indicators are poor at capturing weak qualitative signals. The most dangerous risks are often those that don't fit into any pre-established category.
You spend a lot of time producing documents that meet standards, which reduces your ability to observe changes in the organization's environment. The administrative burden limits your time for forward-looking analysis.
Your response plans assume a certain stability of conditions. However, during a real crisis, circumstances change rapidly. Rigid procedures then become difficult to implement.
The real surprises, those improbable but highly impactful events, elude your models. You know they exist, but your current tools don't help you anticipate them.
Finally, you must constantly balance compliance with regulatory obligations and the actual need to protect the organization. Sometimes, these two objectives come into conflict.

These challenges do not call into question the usefulness of your work. They simply reveal the inherent limitations of traditional approaches in the face of an increasingly unpredictable environment.

Your profession is evolving. Simply managing known risks is no longer enough. The question is not about better managing what you know, but about developing your ability to detect what you don't yet know.

Our Response (not a solution, a capability)

Cultivating the ability to anticipate, not providing solutions.

We're not offering you an additional tool to add to your existing collection. We're not selling you a miracle solution. We're helping you develop a fundamental capability that even the best risk management systems cannot replace :

The ability to perceive weak signals and adapt the organization before risks become uncontrollable.

Our approach is based on biological mechanisms validated by scientific research, which we translate into operational protocols adapted to organizations.

What we are developing in concrete terms with you

We are working on three complementary capabilities :

Expanded vigilance
Based on the peripheral vision mechanisms of vertebrates, we help you implement a detection system that actively monitors signals at the edge of your usual monitoring field. In practical terms, this means identifying information sources you are not currently consulting and training people within the organization to recognize unusual patterns.
Adaptive coordination
Inspired by the coordination mechanisms observed in social insects, we work with you to develop protocols that allow teams to adapt quickly without waiting for centralized instructions. In practice, this involves defining clear yet simple rules that guide autonomous action in the face of unforeseen situations.
An active memory
Based on the learning principles of living systems, we help you create mechanisms that systematically transform incidents into operational learnings. In concrete terms, this translates into post-event analysis rituals and the capitalization of directly applicable lessons learned.

What this changes

With these capabilities, your organization gradually becomes better able to :

Detecting emerging threats earlier
React more quickly to warning signs
Learn more effectively from incidents
Adapting more flexibly to changes

This approach is not based on intuition or a new idea. It relies on documented operational principles :

The concept of natural sentinels is developed in the work of Karl Weick and Kathleen Sutcliffe ( Managing the Unexpected , 2001), which shows that resilient organizations are those that cultivate a "collective vigilance" in the face of the unexpected.
The principle of decentralized coordination is inspired by stigmergy , observed in social insects and formalized by the biologist Pierre-Paul Grassé in 1959. It describes how local actions can self-coordinate without central order, simply by modifying the common environment.
The idea that an organization must learn from its disturbances, and not just resist them, is at the heart of the concept of ecological resilience , introduced by CS Holling in 1973. It shows that the systems capable of reorganizing themselves after a shock are those that integrate learning into their functioning.

Our honest stance

We do not replace your current risk management tools. We complement them by adding a proactive dimension that traditional methods do not fully cover.

We don't guarantee that you'll avoid every crisis. No one can make that promise. We help you develop a capacity for anticipation that reduces the likelihood of being caught off guard and improves your ability to react.

Our value comes from the robustness of the biological mechanisms on which we rely, mechanisms validated by decades of research in ethology and biology, and from our ability to translate them into concrete organizational practices.

What we propose

Replace rigid procedures with short action rules.

We offer practical support to complement your existing risk management systems. Here's what that actually includes :

Assessment of your anticipation skills

We analyze your current system with you to identify :

Blind spots in your risk monitoring
The weak signals that you might miss
Organizational barriers to early detection
Realistic opportunities for improvement

This diagnostic process lasts half a day and leads to a shared assessment and concrete courses of action.

Gradual support over 3 to 6 months

Our intervention takes place in several phases :

First phase (1-2 months)
We will work with you to install an expanded monitoring system based on the principles of peripheral vigilance observed in animal vision. This involves broadening the scope of monitoring beyond the usual indicators.
Second phase (2-4 months)
We are implementing coordination protocols inspired by the cooperation mechanisms observed in social insects. The goal is to enable more efficient transmission and processing of detected signals.
Third phase (4-6 months)
We develop an active organizational memory, allowing us to capitalize on incidents to continuously improve your system.

Concrete and measurable tools

We provide you with :

✅ Analysis grids to identify weak signals
✅ Protocols for collecting and processing information
✅ Performance indicators for your vigilance system
✅ Methods for capitalizing on learning

All these tools are inspired by biological mechanisms validated by scientific research, including work on peripheral vision (research in neurophysiology) and stigmergy (decentralized coordination observed in social insects).

Real-world conditions

Our support is tailored to your pace and constraints. We generally work with sessions of 2 to 4 hours per week, with independent work on your part between sessions.

The cost is transparent : a flat fee for the diagnosis, then a monthly fee for support. We bill based on time spent, without any guarantee of specific results.

The Program

The ability to perceive, react and learn in the face of what does not yet have a name.

Our support approach

Our program takes place over a period of three to six months, depending on your specific context and needs. Each phase is concrete and measurable.

First month : Assessment and scoping
We begin by understanding your organization and your current risk management processes. This phase includes:
Analysis of your existing monitoring and alert system
Identifying blind spots in your risk coverage
Assessing your current ability to detect weak signals
Mapping your internal and external information sources

Second month : Capacity building
Based on this diagnosis, we work together to:
The installation of an expanded monitoring system, inspired by the peripheral vigilance mechanisms observed in nature
Training your teams in weak signal detection techniques
The implementation of simplified information reporting protocols
Adapting your dashboards to include early warning indicators

Third month : Implementation and testing
Let's move on to the practical application:
Testing the new protocols on real-world risks
Adjusting tools based on feedback
Training teams in decentralized coordination to address emerging threats
Implementation of post-event learning mechanisms

From the fourth month onwards : Consolidation and autonomy
We ensure the sustainability of the systems put in place:
Monitoring the performance indicators of the new protocols
Fine adjustments based on observed results
Gradual transfer of skills to your teams
Documenting lessons learned and best practices

What you can expect

At the end of this support program, you will have :

From a weak signal detection system integrated into your existing processes
Response protocols adapted to emerging threats
From a team trained in the principles of enhanced vigilance
Tools for measuring your ability to anticipate

Duration and Investment

This program does not promise to prevent all crises. It aims to ensure that, when the unforeseen occurs, your organization is not caught off guard, not because it predicted it, but because it has learned to sense, adapt, and learn from each experience.

This approach requires a genuine willingness to listen and experiment. The results largely depend on the organization's commitment to this collective learning process.

It requires neither expensive technology nor profound reorganization. It starts with what already exists :

People, their perceptions, and their ability to act together.

What this program is not

❌ This is not a standardized training program.
❌ This is not a compliance audit.
❌ This is not a promise of zero incidents.
❌ This is not a replacement for your existing technical tools.

What the program requires of your organization

Human commitment :

Your availability and that of your management teams throughout the duration of the program
The active involvement of at least ten people from different departments
The openness to questioning certain established processes

Time commitment :

An estimated involvement of half a day to two days per week dedicated to monitoring the program
Regular working meetings with the operational teams
Time dedicated to experimenting with new devices

What the program does not guarantee

We make no promises :

The disappearance of social or organizational crises
The detection of all weak signals
A rapid and complete cultural transformation
Quantifiable results in short timeframes

Operating principles

Transparency :

All observations, analyses and recommendations are shared in real time with your team.

Adaptation :

The program is adjusted according to your specific constraints and organizational context.

Gradual progression :

Each step builds upon the previous one, without any abrupt break from your current practices.

Sustainability :

The goal is to make you self-reliant in managing your forecasting capabilities, without external dependence.

Conditions for success

The organizations that benefit most from this program are those that :

They acknowledge their current limitations in terms of anticipation
They accept that improvement is gradual and sometimes non-linear.
They consider anticipation as a collective skill to be developed
They accept the element of uncertainty inherent in any learning process.

Financial commitment :

An investment corresponding to the internal working time mobilized
Costs related to peri-ecological support
Any organizational adjustments identified together
We explain in detail what is included and what is not before any commitment.

We offer you a diagnosis, an action to test, and a commitment : if it doesn't work, you stop.

To go further

Our response : to develop a capacity, not to provide a solution.

If this approach resonates with what you observe in the field, then Pericology might interest you. Not as a solution, but as a framework for reflection, experimentation, and potentially, co-creation.

Please take a few minutes to describe your situation to us.

✍️ QUESTIONNAIRE :

When did you identify your last disruptive threat ?
Before it impacts your results
When it began to have an impact
When she was already critical
How do your teams react to the unpredictable ?
Immediate adaptation without a meeting
Rapid coordination after briefing
Awaiting instructions
Are your innovation processes…
Organic and emergent
Structured yet flexible
Rigid and planned